A hand holding a small white paper house model with a blurred house in the background, symbolising Vietnam Affordable Housing Supply.

Can Vietnam Affordable Housing Supply Meet the Demand?

In recent years, Vietnam has seen a surge in demand for affordable housing, particularly in rapidly growing cities like Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC) and Hanoi. The Vietnam Affordable Housing Supply demand reflects its swift urbanization and economic growth. However, the supply of budget-friendly housing has struggled to keep pace, leaving a wide gap in availability and affordability. It seems that developers face several challenges that hinder their efforts to meet the market’s needs.

Demand Dynamics for Vietnam Affordable Housing Supply

The country’s economic growth and urbanization have accelerated demand for Vietnam Affordable Housing Supply. With cities like HCMC experiencing annual population increases, the need for housing options has surged.

According to World Bank data, most urban housing demand is concentrated in HCMC and Hanoi. In these two cities, more than half of Vietnam’s urban land and nearly 75% of new urban development occur. However, while the demand has reached significant levels, affordable housing options lag behind. An annual demand of 50,000 units in HCMC alone remains unmet, emphasizing the need for solutions to ensure adequate housing for low- and middle-income residents.

Current Market Supply and Segment Disparities

The Vietnam Affordable Housing Supply is shown is this bar chart of Ho Chi Minh villa/townhouse sales from 2020 to H2/2024 with an overlay of absorption rate decline.
Source: Savills

The Vietnam Affordable Housing Supply is low compared to market demand. Recent data from Savills highlighting that affordable apartments priced under VND 3 billion (considered affordable in the market) make up just 18% of HCMC’s primary supply. This shortage is exacerbated by high land prices and complex regulatory frameworks that drive up costs and reduce feasibility for developers to offer affordable units.

The housing market, particularly in Q2 2024, saw a boost in mid-end and high-end apartments, which took precedence over lower-priced units. In HCMC, Grade B units dominated the primary supply, accounting for 56%, while Grade C units made up 40%. In contrast, only 4% of the supply was Grade A, mainly located in Thu Duc City and other prime areas. According to the Vietnam Association of Realtors, average apartment prices rose by 22-25% year-on-year in Q3 2024, widening the affordability gap.

Vietnam Affordable Housing Supply Challenges

Numerous factors limit Vietnam Affordable Housing Supply. First, rising land and construction costs push up primary prices, with 77% of available properties priced above VND 30 billion, leaving lower-income residents with limited options. Additionally, the cost and time associated with navigating administrative procedures add to development delays, discouraging new affordable housing projects.

Economic fluctuations also play a significant role, affecting developers’ access to financing and the overall cost of construction. Developers face high construction and labor expenses, and rising interest rates further complicate the financing of affordable projects. As a result, the availability of apartments under VND 3 billion could drop to less than 5% of total supply over the next three years.

A Collaborative Solution for Future Vietnam Affordable Housing Supply

Meeting Vietnam Affordable Housing Supply will require concerted efforts from both public and private sectors. Experts emphasize the need for new policies aimed at reducing land and construction costs, simplifying regulatory procedures, and providing incentives for developers. Collaboration between government agencies and private developers will be essential. This is especially considering that Vietnam’s national budget is stretched and may not support large-scale affordable housing projects on its own.

Furthermore, policy adjustments to address administrative and legal challenges could encourage the development of low-cost housing. Flexible land-use policies, financing programs, and administrative support could create an environment that incentivizes affordable housing initiatives. To bridge the demand-supply gap, fostering technical training for builders and making financing accessible to low-income families are additional steps that can ensure the availability of quality, affordable housing.

 

The Vietnam Affordable Housing Supply, especially in urban centers like HCMC and Hanoi, is rising sharply. However, a blend of high land costs, regulatory issues, and limited resources for developers makes it difficult to meet this demand. For Vietnam’s urban development to be sustainable and inclusive, a shift in both policy and practice is necessary to provide low- and middle-income households with access to affordable homes. Collaborative efforts between the public and private sectors, backed by supportive policies, will be essential for Vietnam.